Category: Climate Science

Read more about the local impacts of global climate change.

  • Climate Change and the Monterey Cypress

    The Monterey Cypress (Cupressus macrocarpa) is a California Central Coast endemic species – listed as a ‘Category 1’ rare and endangered species by the state of California, with only two native populations remaining. The species’ natural distribution range is confined to two small populations within 10 miles of one another – Allan Memorial Grove in Point Lobos State Nature Reserve and Crocker Grove in Pebble Beach, Carmel (California State Parks 2018: 4-48; Point Lobos Foundation n.d.). The “exceedingly limited area of its natural home may have been caused by changes in climatic conditions” (California State Parks 2018: 4-48). This historic trend throws caution to the potential for future sensitivity of Monterey Cypress native populations to climate change.

    The small native population size also suggests lack of genetic diversity. Genetic diversity within a species population provides adaptive capacity by increasing the likelihood that individuals within the population may have heritable traits that increase tolerance of the species to climate change (National Wildlife Federation 2011: 49). This further indicates the Monterey Cypress’s vulnerability to climate change.

    In addition, limited natural range indicates the species’ poor dispersal ability. “In general, species with poorer dispersal abilities are more susceptible to climate change” (National Wildlife Federation 2011: 49). Rising atmospheric temperatures as a result of climate change is set to weaken this ability further. Under high emissions scenarios, the average annual temperature is projected to increase by 1.8°C by 2070 in the region relative to the modelled historical period (Langridge 2018: 13). Allan Memorial Grove is experiencing an increase in the population growth rate of invasive grass species, in particular, Leafy Bent Grass (Agrostis pallens) (Lee 2021). Invasive grass species interrupt Monterey Cypress reproduction by hindering the dispersal ability of seedlings, as well as blocking their access to direct sunlight. The change in vegetation and species distribution around the stand is exacerbated by increasing temperatures in the region that enable the grasses to grow at a faster rate, disrupting the optimal conditions cypress seeds need to germinate. This climate-informed phenomenon may pose a threat to the continuation of Monterey Cypress at Allan Memorial Grove.

    Distributional Range: Range is the geographical area within which a species can be found. Within that range, distribution is the general structure of the species population.

    Genetic Diversity: The variation in the amount of genetic information within and among individuals of a population, a species, an assemblage, or a community.

    Adaptive Capacity: The general ability of institutions, systems, and individuals to adjust to potential damage, to take advantage of opportunities, or to cope with the consequences.

    Dispersal: The dissemination of offspring of plants or sessile animals. Dispersal provides organisms that are not mobile with a better chance of survival by reducing competition among offspring and parents and promoting colonization of new habitats.

    Emissions scenarios: Possible pathways that society might take in the emission of greenhouse gases in the future.

    Stand: An aggregation of trees or other growth occupying a specific area and sufficiently uniform in species composition, size, age, arrangement, and condition as to be distinguished from the forest or other growth on adjoining areas.

    Native Species: Indigenous species of animals or plants that naturally occur in a given region or ecosystem.

    Invasive Species: A non-native species that spreads rapidly and outcompetes, preys on and otherwise reduces or eliminates populations of native species.

    References

    California State Parks, 2018. Preliminary General Plan and Draft Environmental Impact Report. Carmel Area State Parks.

    IPBES secretariat. n.d. Glossary | IPBES secretariat. [online] Available at: https://www.ipbes.net/glossary[Accessed 14 June 2021].

    Lee, K., 2021. Informational Interview on Point Lobos SNR.

    National Wildlife Federation, 2011. Scanning the Conservation Horizon: A Guide to Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment. Washington, D.C.

    Point Lobos Foundation, n.d. Trees | Point Lobos Foundation. [online] Available at: https://pointlobos.org/learn- more/wildlife-plants-birds-and-geology/plants/trees [Accessed 10 March 2021].

    Tierney, K., 2021. Monterey Cypress Forest at Allan Memorial Grove. Monterey, CA.

  • Climate Change and the Arctic

    Climate change threatens the safety and integrity of the Arctic’s climate, ecosystems, and biodiversity. Sea ice has begun to decline in quality and quantity causing Arctic warming to occur almost twice as fast as anywhere else in the world, with more severe consequences. The volume of sea ice that forms every year is decreasing, and the ice that forms is becoming thinner. 

    Ice has a high albedo, which means it reflects a lot of solar radiation back into space and does not absorb heat. Warmer temperatures melt sea ice, exposing darker surfaces with a lower albedo causing more heat to be absorbed and more ice to melt. Ice melt is endangering species whose habitats are dependent on sea ice, including polar bears, walruses, and seals.

    Increased C02 in the atmosphere has been directly linked to increased C02 in the ocean, and poses a threat to Arctic sea life. Marine Arctic animals have spent millenia adapting to unique Arctic climates; small changes in temperature or acidification have severe consequences. Ocean acidification is disrupting food webs, biochemical composition of marine animals, and ocean circulation patterns. 

    Climate change effects in the Arctic will open up direct shipping routes and facilitate development in the Arctic. As countries rush to stake a claim in the Arctic, there will be an increased risk of oil spills, environmental damage, and ice melt.

    Vocabulary

    Biodiversity: variety of species/ life in an environment

    Albedo: the amount of solar radiation reflected by a surface

    High albedo: more solar radiation is reflected back into space than absorbed (lighter surfaces like snow)

    Low albedo: more solar radiation is absorbed than reflected back into space (darker surfaces like dirt or water)

    Further Reading

    Fu, Q. (2015). Radiation Transfer in the Atmosphere: Radiation, Solar. In: Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences (Second Edition) [North, G.R., Pyle, J., Zhang, F., eds.], Academic Press, p. 1-4. An overview of the physical properties of solar electromagnetic radiation and the effect of this radiation on the Earth’s global climate.

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Science Mission Directorate (2010). Tour of the Electromagnetic Spectrum. Available from: https://science.nasa.gov/ems The landing webpage for NASA’s series of informational articles on electromagnetic radiation, shortwave and longwave radiation, and the greenhouse effect. Web links on page lead to articles and visualizations about the dynamics discussed in this section. 

    Bell, R. E., & Seroussi, H. (2020). History, mass loss, structure, and dynamic behavior of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Science, 367(6484), 1321-1325. Detailed review paper describes the deep time and more recent history of the Antarctic ice sheet including when the past the ice sheet was absent and current rates of change 

    References

    “The Arctic & Global Warming.” Greenpeace USA, www.greenpeace.org/usa/arctic/issues/global-warming/#:~:text=Melting%20ice%20speeds%20up%20climate,world%20warmer%20as%20a%20result.

    “Climate Change and the Arctic.” Marine Mammal Commission, 2 May 2019, www.mmc.gov/priority-topics/arctic/climate-change/.Wendisch, Manfred. “Understanding Causes and Effects of Rapid Warming in the Arctic.” Eos, 6 July 2017, eos.org/science-updates/understanding-causes-and-effects-of-rapid-warming-in-the-arctic.